Idioma:Español
Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Besiktas JK (Local)
Predicción 73.33%1.36momio equitativo
EV -4.67%
Ventaja -3.60%
Kelly -15.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.84%73.41%73.36%75.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.12%78.43%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Erzurum BB (Visitante)
Predicción 9.25%10.81momio equitativo
EV +9.17%
Ventaja +0.777%
Kelly +0.849%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.24%9.23%9.26%11.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.7510.0410.0011.8012.90%9.96%10.00%8.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.42%5.74momio equitativo
EV +4.52%
Ventaja +0.753%
Kelly +0.904%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.70%17.36%17.38%18.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.295.326.0020.83%18.91%18.80%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Besiktas JK (Local): 73.33%; Erzurum BB (Visitante): 9.25%; Empate: 17.42%. Para Erzurum BB (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.81. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.37%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +9.17%E +0.777%K +0.849%G +0.078% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.39%EV +3.30%E +0.557%K +0.670%G +0.022% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 05:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.49%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.542%E -0.050%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +4.52%E +0.753%K +0.904%G +0.041% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.40%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.43I 9.59%NM 9.01%EV -3.50%E -0.336%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.59%EV -6.98%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.382%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.61%EV -1.05%E -0.186%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.11%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV +0.165%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -11.27%E -9.32%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.12%EV -9.79%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 05:42 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.32%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -5.06%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.80%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.96%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -16.73%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -7.67%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.84%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.15%EV -28.30%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.01%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 02:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.78% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 11:20 |