默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB

开赛时间: 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Besiktas JK 3–0 Erzurum BB

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Besiktas JK (主队)

预测 73.33%1.36公平赔率
EV -4.67%
优势 -3.60%
Kelly -15.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
70.84%73.41%73.36%75.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.12%78.43%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Erzurum BB (客队)

预测 9.25%10.81公平赔率
EV +9.17%
优势 +0.777%
Kelly +0.849%
增长率 +0.078%

假设最高赔率为 11.80

博彩公司预测分布
8.24%9.23%9.26%11.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.7510.0410.0011.8012.90%9.96%10.00%8.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.42%5.74公平赔率
EV +4.52%
优势 +0.753%
Kelly +0.904%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.70%17.36%17.38%18.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.295.326.0020.83%18.91%18.80%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Besiktas JK (主队):73.33%;Erzurum BB (客队):9.25%;平局:17.42%。 对于“Erzurum BB (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.81。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.80,对应+9.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.37%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +9.17%E +0.777%K +0.849%G +0.078%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.39%EV +3.30%E +0.557%K +0.670%G +0.022%2.9%2026-09-09 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 17:04
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 05:19
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.49%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 05:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.542%E -0.050%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 04:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 04:20
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +4.52%E +0.753%K +0.904%G +0.041%6.2%2026-09-09 12:05
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:06
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:04
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.40%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.43I 9.59%NM 9.01%EV -3.50%E -0.336%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.59%EV -6.98%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 10:35
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000%10.38I 9.63%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.382%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.61%EV -1.05%E -0.186%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 11:54
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 11:18
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.11%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 05:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV +0.165%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:01
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 05:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -11.27%E -9.32%K -53.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.12%EV -9.79%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 05:42
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 05:05
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 15:51
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.32%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -5.06%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 13:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 13:26
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.80%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.96%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -16.73%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -7.67%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.84%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.15%EV -28.30%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.01%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-08 20:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%1.9%2026-09-09 02:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%2.8%2026-09-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%2.8%2026-09-09 13:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%2.8%2026-09-09 13:21
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 73.78%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%11.1%2026-09-09 11:20