Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB

2026-09-11 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Besiktas JK (Local)

Previsão 71.92%1.39odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -8.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.00%71.98%71.82%74.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.231.281.281.3581.30%77.87%78.13%74.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Erzurum BB (Visitante)

Previsão 9.69%10.32odd justa
EV +10.45%
Vantagem +0.916%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescimento +0.105%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.52%9.70%9.75%11.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.259.339.5011.4013.79%10.72%10.53%8.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.39%5.44odd justa
EV +2.82%
Vantagem +0.504%
Kelly +0.614%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.12%18.32%18.43%19.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.035.025.5922.73%19.86%19.92%17.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Besiktas JK (Local): 71.92%; Erzurum BB (Visitante): 9.69%; Empate: 18.39%. Para Erzurum BB (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 10.32. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 11.40, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +10.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.67%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.52%EV +10.45%E +0.916%K +1.00%G +0.105%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.37%EV +2.82%E +0.504%K +0.614%G +0.017%3.0%2026-09-06 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.97%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +1.73%E +0.165%K +0.182%G +0.003%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.14%EV -5.27%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:25
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.29%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.79%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.29%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.79%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +1.16%E +0.211%K +0.258%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-06 22:23
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 21:40
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.06%EV -2.91%E -2.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.76I 10.25%NM 9.83%EV -5.44%E -0.558%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.11%EV -7.67%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:19
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 23:15
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 21:44
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.16%E +0.211%K +0.258%G +0.003%6.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.57%EV -9.38%E -7.45%K -36.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 21:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.18%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.63%EV -10.82%E -8.73%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.63%EV -10.82%E -8.73%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.82%EV -9.38%E -7.45%K -36.09%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -15.23%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 22:20
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.65%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.65%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.16%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.57%EV -19.59%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.27%EV -16.31%E -3.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -22.49%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -27.34%E -3.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -17.23%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.00%EV -11.54%E -9.38%K -50.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.71%EV -29.76%E -4.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.29%EV -19.07%E -4.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-06 22:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 69.09%7.80I 12.82%NM 10.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%16.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 37.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 31.15%1.61I 62.11%NM 31.15%99.4%2026-09-07 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00