StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB

Matchstart: 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Besiktas JK 3–0 Erzurum BB

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Besiktas JK (Hemma)

Prognos 73.33%1.36rättvist odds
EV -4.67%
Fördel -3.60%
Kelly -15.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
70.84%73.41%73.36%75.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.12%78.43%76.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Erzurum BB (Borta)

Prognos 9.25%10.81rättvist odds
EV +9.17%
Fördel +0.777%
Kelly +0.849%
Tillväxt +0.078%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.24%9.23%9.26%11.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.7510.0410.0011.8012.90%9.96%10.00%8.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 17.42%5.74rättvist odds
EV +4.52%
Fördel +0.753%
Kelly +0.904%
Tillväxt +0.041%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.70%17.36%17.38%18.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.805.295.326.0020.83%18.91%18.80%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Besiktas JK (Hemma): 73.33%; Erzurum BB (Borta): 9.25%; Oavgjort: 17.42%. För Erzurum BB (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.81. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.37%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +9.17%E +0.777%K +0.849%G +0.078%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.39%EV +3.30%E +0.557%K +0.670%G +0.022%2.9%2026-09-09 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 17:04
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 05:19
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.49%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 05:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.542%E -0.050%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 04:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 04:20
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +4.52%E +0.753%K +0.904%G +0.041%6.2%2026-09-09 12:05
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:06
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:04
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.40%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.43I 9.59%NM 9.01%EV -3.50%E -0.336%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.59%EV -6.98%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 10:35
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000%10.38I 9.63%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.382%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.61%EV -1.05%E -0.186%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 11:54
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 11:18
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.11%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 05:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV +0.165%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:01
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 05:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -11.27%E -9.32%K -53.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.12%EV -9.79%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 05:42
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 05:05
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 15:51
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.32%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -5.06%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 13:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 13:26
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.80%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.96%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -16.73%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -7.67%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.84%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.15%EV -28.30%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.01%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-08 20:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%1.9%2026-09-09 02:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%2.8%2026-09-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%2.8%2026-09-09 13:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%2.8%2026-09-09 13:21
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 73.78%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%11.1%2026-09-09 11:20