StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB

2026-09-11 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Besiktas JK (Hemma)

Prognos 71.92%1.39rättvist odds
EV -2.91%
Fördel -2.16%
Kelly -8.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.00%71.98%71.82%74.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.231.281.281.3581.30%77.87%78.13%74.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Erzurum BB (Borta)

Prognos 9.69%10.32rättvist odds
EV +10.45%
Fördel +0.916%
Kelly +1.00%
Tillväxt +0.105%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.52%9.70%9.75%11.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.259.339.5011.4013.79%10.72%10.53%8.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.39%5.44rättvist odds
EV +2.82%
Fördel +0.504%
Kelly +0.614%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.12%18.32%18.43%19.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.035.025.5922.73%19.86%19.92%17.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Besiktas JK (Hemma): 71.92%; Erzurum BB (Borta): 9.69%; Oavgjort: 18.39%. För Erzurum BB (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.32. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 11.40, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +10.45%.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.67%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.52%EV +10.45%E +0.916%K +1.00%G +0.105%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.37%EV +2.82%E +0.504%K +0.614%G +0.017%3.0%2026-09-06 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.97%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +1.73%E +0.165%K +0.182%G +0.003%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.14%EV -5.27%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:25
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.29%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.79%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.29%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.79%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +1.16%E +0.211%K +0.258%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-06 22:23
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 21:40
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.06%EV -2.91%E -2.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.76I 10.25%NM 9.83%EV -5.44%E -0.558%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.11%EV -7.67%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:19
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 23:15
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 21:44
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.16%E +0.211%K +0.258%G +0.003%6.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.57%EV -9.38%E -7.45%K -36.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 21:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.18%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.63%EV -10.82%E -8.73%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.63%EV -10.82%E -8.73%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.82%EV -9.38%E -7.45%K -36.09%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -15.23%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 22:20
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.65%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.65%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.16%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.57%EV -19.59%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.27%EV -16.31%E -3.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -22.49%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -27.34%E -3.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -17.23%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.00%EV -11.54%E -9.38%K -50.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.71%EV -29.76%E -4.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.29%EV -19.07%E -4.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-06 22:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 69.09%7.80I 12.82%NM 10.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%16.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 37.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 31.15%1.61I 62.11%NM 31.15%99.4%2026-09-07 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00