StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB

2026-09-11 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Besiktas JK (Heim)

Prognose 71.92%1.39faire Quote
EV -2.91%
Vorteil -2.16%
Kelly -8.31%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.00%71.98%71.82%74.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.231.281.281.3581.30%77.87%78.13%74.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Erzurum BB (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.69%10.32faire Quote
EV +10.45%
Vorteil +0.916%
Kelly +1.00%
Wachstum +0.105%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.52%9.70%9.75%11.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.259.339.5011.4013.79%10.72%10.53%8.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.39%5.44faire Quote
EV +2.82%
Vorteil +0.504%
Kelly +0.614%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.12%18.32%18.43%19.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.035.025.5922.73%19.86%19.92%17.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Besiktas JK (Heim): 71.92%; Erzurum BB (Auswärts): 9.69%; Unentschieden: 18.39%. Für Erzurum BB (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.32. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 11.40 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +10.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.67%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.52%EV +10.45%E +0.916%K +1.00%G +0.105%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.37%EV +2.82%E +0.504%K +0.614%G +0.017%3.0%2026-09-06 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.97%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +1.73%E +0.165%K +0.182%G +0.003%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.14%EV -5.27%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:25
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.29%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.79%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.29%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -10.79%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +1.16%E +0.211%K +0.258%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-06 22:23
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -3.12%E -0.312%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 21:40
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.06%EV -2.91%E -2.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.76I 10.25%NM 9.83%EV -5.44%E -0.558%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.11%EV -7.67%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:19
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 23:15
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -7.94%E -6.21%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.96%E -0.838%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 21:44
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.44%E -0.654%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.51%E -5.00%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.16%E +0.211%K +0.258%G +0.003%6.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.23%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.57%EV -9.38%E -7.45%K -36.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 21:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.18%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.63%EV -10.82%E -8.73%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.63%EV -10.82%E -8.73%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.80%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.82%EV -9.38%E -7.45%K -36.09%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -15.23%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 22:20
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.65%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.65%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.35%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.16%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.57%EV -19.59%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.27%EV -16.31%E -3.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -22.49%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -27.34%E -3.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -17.23%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.00%EV -11.54%E -9.38%K -50.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.71%EV -29.76%E -4.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.29%EV -19.07%E -4.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-06 22:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 69.09%7.80I 12.82%NM 10.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%16.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 37.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 31.15%1.61I 62.11%NM 31.15%99.4%2026-09-07 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 22:00