Language:English
FC Zurich v FC Thun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Zurich (Local)
Prediction 18.37%5.44fair odd
EV +5.82%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.071%
assuming max odds 5.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.41%18.29%18.41%20.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.884.755.7622.22%20.49%21.05%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Thun (Visit)
Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.10%59.82%59.77%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.561.571.6572.46%64.26%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.81%4.58fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.08%21.89%21.82%23.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.104.5026.67%24.26%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zurich (Local): 18.37%; FC Thun (Visit): 59.82%; Draw: 21.81%. For FC Zurich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.44. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.77%EV +5.82%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +4.71%E +0.827%K +1.00%G +0.047% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +2.88%E +0.514%K +0.625%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.04%E +0.189%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -11.65%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 16:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.84%E -0.408%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -4.47%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV -5.39%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21%EV -1.30%E -0.791%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -9.47%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.29%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.11%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 16:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 16:47 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -17.45%E -12.65%K -45.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -17.11%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.66%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.88%E -7.30%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -18.20%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |