La scuola delle quoteItaliano
FC Zurich v FC Thun
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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FC Zurich (Casa)
Previsione 18.37%5.44quota equa
EV +5.82%
Vantaggio +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.071%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.76
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.41%18.29%18.41%20.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.884.755.7622.22%20.49%21.05%17.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
FC Thun (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.82%1.67quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.791%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.10%59.82%59.77%62.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.561.571.6572.46%64.26%63.69%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 21.81%4.58quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.408%
Kelly -0.525%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.08%21.89%21.82%23.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.124.104.5026.67%24.26%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.77%EV +5.82%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +4.71%E +0.827%K +1.00%G +0.047% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +2.88%E +0.514%K +0.625%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.04%E +0.189%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -11.65%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 16:51 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.84%E -0.408%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -4.47%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| GTbets | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV -5.39%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21%EV -1.30%E -0.791%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -9.47%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.29%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.11%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 16:53 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:35 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetMGM | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 16:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -17.45%E -12.65%K -45.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -17.11%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.66%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.88%E -7.30%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -18.20%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |