مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Zurich v FC Thun

البداية: 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Zurich (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.37%5.44السعر العادل
EV +5.82%
الأفضلية +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
النمو +0.071%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.41%18.29%18.41%20.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.884.755.7622.22%20.49%21.05%17.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Thun (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.82%1.67السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.791%
Kelly -2.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.10%59.82%59.77%62.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.561.571.6572.46%64.26%63.69%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.81%4.58السعر العادل
EV -1.84%
الأفضلية -0.408%
Kelly -0.525%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.08%21.89%21.82%23.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.124.104.5026.67%24.26%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle5.76I 17.36%NM 16.77%EV +5.82%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:44
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:49
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:49
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +4.71%E +0.827%K +1.00%G +0.047%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:54
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +2.88%E +0.514%K +0.625%G +0.018%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:49
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.04%E +0.189%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -11.65%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:51
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.84%E -0.408%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:54
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -4.47%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:49
GTbets5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV -5.39%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21%EV -1.30%E -0.791%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -9.47%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:39
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.29%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:55
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.11%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 16:53
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:35
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:44
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 16:49
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 16:49
BetMGM4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:34
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-21 16:47
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -17.45%E -12.65%K -45.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -17.11%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 16:49
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:49
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:49
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 16:49
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.66%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:34
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:34
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.88%E -7.30%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -18.20%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-21 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-21 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-03-21 16:54
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-03-21 16:54