StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Zurich v FC Thun

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Zurich (Hemma)

Prognos 18.37%5.44rättvist odds
EV +5.82%
Fördel +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.76

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.41%18.29%18.41%20.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.504.884.755.7622.22%20.49%21.05%17.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Borta)

Prognos 59.82%1.67rättvist odds
EV -1.30%
Fördel -0.791%
Kelly -2.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.10%59.82%59.77%62.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.561.571.6572.46%64.26%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.81%4.58rättvist odds
EV -1.84%
Fördel -0.408%
Kelly -0.525%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.08%21.89%21.82%23.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.124.104.5026.67%24.26%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Zurich (Hemma): 18.37%; FC Thun (Borta): 59.82%; Oavgjort: 21.81%. För FC Zurich (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.44. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.76, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯5.76I 17.36%NM 16.77%EV +5.82%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +4.71%E +0.827%K +1.00%G +0.047%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:54
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +2.88%E +0.514%K +0.625%G +0.018%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:49
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.04%E +0.189%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -11.65%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:51
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.84%E -0.408%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -4.47%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:49
GTbets🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV -5.39%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21%EV -1.30%E -0.791%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -9.47%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.29%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.11%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 16:53
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:35
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:44
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 16:49
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 16:49
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-21 16:47
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -17.45%E -12.65%K -45.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -17.11%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 16:49
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:49
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.66%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:34
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.88%E -7.30%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -18.20%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-21 16:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-21 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-03-21 16:54
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-03-21 16:54