L’École des cotesFC Zurich v FC Thun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Zurich (Local)
Prévision 18.37%5.44cote équitable
EV +5.82%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 5.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.41%18.29%18.41%20.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.884.755.7622.22%20.49%21.05%17.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Thun (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.82%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.791%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.10%59.82%59.77%62.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.561.571.6572.46%64.26%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.81%4.58cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.525%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.08%21.89%21.82%23.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.104.5026.67%24.26%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.77%EV +5.82%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +4.71%E +0.827%K +1.00%G +0.047% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +2.88%E +0.514%K +0.625%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.04%E +0.189%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -11.65%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 16:51 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.84%E -0.408%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -4.47%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| GTbets | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV -5.39%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21%EV -1.30%E -0.791%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -9.47%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.29%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.11%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 16:53 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:35 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetMGM | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 16:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -17.45%E -12.65%K -45.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -17.11%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.66%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.88%E -7.30%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -18.20%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |