Idioma:Español
FC Zurich v FC Thun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Zurich (Local)
Predicción 18.37%5.44momio equitativo
EV +5.82%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.41%18.29%18.41%20.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.884.755.7622.22%20.49%21.05%17.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Thun (Visitante)
Predicción 59.82%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.791%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.10%59.82%59.77%62.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.561.571.6572.46%64.26%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.81%4.58momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.408%
Kelly -0.525%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.08%21.89%21.82%23.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.124.104.5026.67%24.26%24.39%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Zurich (Local): 18.37%; FC Thun (Visitante): 59.82%; Empate: 21.81%. Para FC Zurich (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.44. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.76, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.77%EV +5.82%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +5.63%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +4.71%E +0.827%K +1.00%G +0.047% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +2.88%E +0.514%K +0.625%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.04%E +0.189%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -11.65%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 16:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.55%E -0.677%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.84%E -0.408%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -4.47%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.02%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV -5.39%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21%EV -1.30%E -0.791%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -9.47%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.29%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.11%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 16:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.02%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.15%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.38%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 16:47 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -17.45%E -12.65%K -45.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -17.11%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.74%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.66%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -4.30%E -2.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.74%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.88%E -7.30%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.33%E -3.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.87%E -9.63%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -18.20%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |