Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 7.00
assuming max odds 1.39
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Winterthur (Local): 14.54%; FC Luzern (Visit): 68.33%; Draw: 17.13%. For FC Winterthur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.78%E +0.255%K +0.297%G +0.005% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.37%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 15:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -1.85%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.22%EV -3.16%E -0.475%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.14%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.31%E -0.497%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.36%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -21.20%E -4.61%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.53%EV -6.36%E -0.988%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.30%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.64%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.33I 15.80%NM 14.78%EV -7.96%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.49%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.82%EV -11.78%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.48%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.64%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.44%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.29%EV -11.85%E -9.19%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.34%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:52 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.28%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.92%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.79%EV -25.83%E -5.96%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -14.21%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -2.36%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.65% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |