مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Winterthur v FC Luzern

البداية: 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Winterthur 0–3 FC Luzern

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Winterthur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 14.54%6.88السعر العادل
EV +1.78%
الأفضلية +0.255%
Kelly +0.297%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.17%14.63%14.46%16.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.256.407.0018.18%16.00%15.63%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Luzern (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.33%1.46السعر العادل
EV -5.02%
الأفضلية -3.61%
Kelly -12.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.92%68.24%68.38%70.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.361.361.3977.52%73.69%73.53%71.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.13%5.84السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -0.261%
Kelly -0.317%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.00%17.13%17.17%19.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.335.195.155.7523.09%19.26%19.42%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.78%E +0.255%K +0.297%G +0.005%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.37%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:54
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:54
BetAnything6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -1.85%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle6.66I 15.02%NM 14.22%EV -3.16%E -0.475%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.14%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Marathon Bet6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.31%E -0.497%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.36%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:50
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:35
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:55
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:34
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -21.20%E -4.61%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:35
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:55
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:10
1xBet6.44I 15.53%NM 14.53%EV -6.36%E -0.988%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.30%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.64%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
GTbets6.33I 15.80%NM 14.78%EV -7.96%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:10
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.49%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.82%EV -11.78%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.48%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:10
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.64%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:10
NetBet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.44%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.29%EV -11.85%E -9.19%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 15:55
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.34%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:10
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:52
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.28%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 65.92%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.79%EV -25.83%E -5.96%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -14.21%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -2.36%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 15:55
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 15:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.65%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%2.6%2026-05-16 15:50