La scuola delle quote

FC Winterthur v FC Luzern

Inizio: 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

Finale: FC Winterthur 0–3 FC Luzern

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Winterthur (Casa)

Previsione 14.54%6.88quota equa
EV +1.78%
Vantaggio +0.255%
Kelly +0.297%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.17%14.63%14.46%16.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.256.407.0018.18%16.00%15.63%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Luzern (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.33%1.46quota equa
EV -5.02%
Vantaggio -3.61%
Kelly -12.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.92%68.24%68.38%70.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.361.361.3977.52%73.69%73.53%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.13%5.84quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.261%
Kelly -0.317%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.00%17.13%17.17%19.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.195.155.7523.09%19.26%19.42%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.78%E +0.255%K +0.297%G +0.005%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.37%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:54
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:54
BetAnything6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -1.85%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle6.66I 15.02%NM 14.22%EV -3.16%E -0.475%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.14%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Marathon Bet6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.31%E -0.497%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.36%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:50
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:35
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:55
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:34
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -21.20%E -4.61%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:35
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:55
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:10
1xBet6.44I 15.53%NM 14.53%EV -6.36%E -0.988%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.30%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.64%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
GTbets6.33I 15.80%NM 14.78%EV -7.96%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:10
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.49%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.82%EV -11.78%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.48%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:10
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.64%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:10
NetBet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.44%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.29%EV -11.85%E -9.19%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 15:55
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.34%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:10
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:52
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.28%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 65.92%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.79%EV -25.83%E -5.96%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -14.21%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -2.36%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 15:55
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.65%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%2.6%2026-05-16 15:50