L’École des cotes

FC Winterthur v FC Luzern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

Score final : FC Winterthur 0–3 FC Luzern

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prévision 14.54%6.88cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.297%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.17%14.63%14.46%16.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.256.407.0018.18%16.00%15.63%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Luzern (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.33%1.46cote équitable
EV -5.02%
Avantage -3.61%
Kelly -12.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.92%68.24%68.38%70.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.361.361.3977.52%73.69%73.53%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.13%5.84cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.261%
Kelly -0.317%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.00%17.13%17.17%19.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.195.155.7523.09%19.26%19.42%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.78%E +0.255%K +0.297%G +0.005%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.37%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:54
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:54
BetAnything6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -1.85%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle6.66I 15.02%NM 14.22%EV -3.16%E -0.475%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.14%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Marathon Bet6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.31%E -0.497%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.36%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:50
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:35
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:55
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:34
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -21.20%E -4.61%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:35
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:55
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:10
1xBet6.44I 15.53%NM 14.53%EV -6.36%E -0.988%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.30%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.64%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
GTbets6.33I 15.80%NM 14.78%EV -7.96%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:10
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.49%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.82%EV -11.78%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.48%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:10
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.64%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:10
NetBet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.44%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.29%EV -11.85%E -9.19%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 15:55
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.34%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:10
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:52
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.28%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 65.92%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.79%EV -25.83%E -5.96%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -14.21%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -2.36%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 15:55
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.65%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%2.6%2026-05-16 15:50