Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

FC Winterthur v FC Luzern

Начало: 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

Итог: FC Winterthur 0–3 FC Luzern

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

FC Winterthur (Хозяева)

Прогноз 14.54%6.88справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.78%
Преимущество +0.255%
Kelly +0.297%
Рост +0.005%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.17%14.63%14.46%16.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.256.407.0018.18%16.00%15.63%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

FC Luzern (Гости)

Прогноз 68.33%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.02%
Преимущество -3.61%
Kelly -12.88%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.39

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.92%68.24%68.38%70.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.361.361.3977.52%73.69%73.53%71.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 17.13%5.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.50%
Преимущество -0.261%
Kelly -0.317%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.00%17.13%17.17%19.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.335.195.155.7523.09%19.26%19.42%17.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Winterthur (Хозяева): 14.54%; FC Luzern (Гости): 68.33%; Ничья: 17.13%. Для исхода «FC Winterthur (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.88. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.78%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.78%E +0.255%K +0.297%G +0.005%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.37%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
BetUS🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:54
BetAnything🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -1.13%E -0.166%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.94%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -1.85%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle🎯6.66I 15.02%NM 14.22%EV -3.16%E -0.475%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.14%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.31%E -0.497%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.36%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:50
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:35
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:34
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -21.20%E -4.61%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:35
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:55
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.49%E -0.844%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 15:10
1xBet🎯6.44I 15.53%NM 14.53%EV -6.36%E -0.988%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.30%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.64%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
TABtouch🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.94%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
GTbets🎯6.33I 15.80%NM 14.78%EV -7.96%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -8.01%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:10
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.49%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.82%EV -11.78%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Everygame🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.12%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.48%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.64%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.06%E -3.28%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.44%EV -11.30%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.29%EV -11.85%E -9.19%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 15:55
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.34%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.317%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:10
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.79%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:52
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.28%EV -12.76%E -2.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 65.92%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.79%EV -25.83%E -5.96%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -14.21%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -2.36%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Betsson🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
NordicBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -17.12%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.40%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:55
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.49%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 15:55
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -20.03%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -11.17%E -8.59%K -37.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 15:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%0.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.65%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%2.6%2026-05-16 15:50