Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Thun (Local): 51.94%; FC Basel (Visit): 24.99%; Draw: 23.06%. For FC Basel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.001. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.000, with an expected value of -0.024%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.53%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.02%E -0.259%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -3.37%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -7.77%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.74%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 18:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.99%E -0.468%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -1.52%E -0.387%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -5.22%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.68%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -23.90%E -7.24%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |