Die Schule der Quoten

FC Thun v FC Basel

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-18 18:30 UTC

Endstand: FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

FC Thun (Heim)

Prognose 51.94%1.93faire Quote
EV -3.90%
Vorteil -2.11%
Kelly -4.59%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.07%51.96%52.10%53.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.17%55.56%54.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

FC Basel (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.99%4.00faire Quote
EV -0.024%
Vorteil -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.54%25.01%24.83%26.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.48%27.78%25.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.06%4.34faire Quote
EV -1.99%
Vorteil -0.468%
Kelly -0.612%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.02%23.03%23.06%25.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.45%25.64%23.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 18:15
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.53%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.02%E -0.259%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -3.37%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 18:25
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:15
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -7.77%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.74%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 18:15
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:23
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.99%E -0.468%K -0.612%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -1.52%E -0.387%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -5.22%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:24
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 18:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.68%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 18:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 18:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 18:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -23.90%E -7.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-18 18:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-18 18:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-18 18:25