Szkoła Kursów

FC Thun v FC Basel

Początek: 2026-04-18 18:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

FC Thun (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 51.94%1.93kurs godziwy
EV -3.90%
Przewaga -2.11%
Kelly -4.59%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.07%51.96%52.10%53.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.17%55.56%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

FC Basel (Goście)

Prognoza 24.99%4.00kurs godziwy
EV -0.024%
Przewaga -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.54%25.01%24.83%26.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.48%27.78%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.06%4.34kurs godziwy
EV -1.99%
Przewaga -0.468%
Kelly -0.612%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.02%23.03%23.06%25.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.45%25.64%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 18:15
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.53%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.02%E -0.259%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -3.37%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 18:25
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:15
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -7.77%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.74%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 18:15
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:23
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.99%E -0.468%K -0.612%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -1.52%E -0.387%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -5.22%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:24
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 18:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.68%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 18:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 18:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 18:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -23.90%E -7.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-18 18:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-18 18:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-18 18:25