مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Thun v FC Basel

البداية: 2026-04-18 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Thun (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.94%1.93السعر العادل
EV -3.90%
الأفضلية -2.11%
Kelly -4.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.07%51.96%52.10%53.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.17%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Basel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.99%4.00السعر العادل
EV -0.024%
الأفضلية -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.54%25.01%24.83%26.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.48%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.06%4.34السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.468%
Kelly -0.612%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.02%23.03%23.06%25.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.45%25.64%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 18:15
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.53%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.02%E -0.259%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -3.37%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 18:25
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:15
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -7.77%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.74%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 18:15
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:23
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.99%E -0.468%K -0.612%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:25
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -1.52%E -0.387%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -5.22%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:24
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 18:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.68%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 18:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 18:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 18:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -23.90%E -7.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-18 18:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-18 18:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-04-18 18:25