La escuela de los momiosFC Thun v FC Basel
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Thun (Local)
Predicción 51.94%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.07%51.96%52.10%53.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.17%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Basel (Visitante)
Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV -0.024%
Ventaja -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.54%25.01%24.83%26.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.48%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.06%4.34momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -0.612%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.02%23.03%23.06%25.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.45%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.53%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.02%E -0.259%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -3.37%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -7.77%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.74%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 18:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.99%E -0.468%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.27%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:01 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -1.52%E -0.387%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -5.22%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.14%E -0.748%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.77%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -13.02%E -3.74%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.68%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -12.52%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.52%E -0.647%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -17.52%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.52%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.02%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.37%E -3.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -15.02%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -23.90%E -7.24%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |