Language:English
Hammarby IF v GAIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hammarby IF (Local)
Prediction 67.65%1.48fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -7.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.03%67.58%67.84%70.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.38%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GAIS (Visit)
Prediction 13.72%7.29fair odd
EV +16.60%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.368%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.41%13.71%13.46%15.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.877.008.5017.39%14.56%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.63%5.37fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.23%18.71%18.71%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.884.805.3022.73%20.49%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 67.65%; GAIS (Visit): 13.72%; Draw: 18.63%. For GAIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.29. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.05%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.85%EV +11.11%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.174% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.60%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -0.957%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.20%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.07%EV -1.23%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.87%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.22%EV -1.51%E -0.210%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -11.13%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.24%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.58%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.38%EV -10.56%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.04%EV -12.80%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.18%E -0.416%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.03%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.26%EV -13.58%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |