Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hammarby IF v GAIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 14:30 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 2–0 GAIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 67.65%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -7.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.03%67.58%67.84%70.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.38%73.53%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

GAIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.72%7.29cote équitable
EV +16.60%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.368%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.41%13.71%13.46%15.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.877.008.5017.39%14.56%14.29%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.63%5.37cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.236%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.23%18.71%18.71%20.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.884.805.3022.73%20.49%20.83%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hammarby IF (Local) : 67.65% ; GAIS (Visiteur) : 13.72% ; Match nul : 18.63%. Pour GAIS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.29. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +16.60%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.05%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.85%EV +11.11%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.174%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.60%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -0.957%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.20%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.07%EV -1.23%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:25
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.87%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.22%EV -1.51%E -0.210%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -11.13%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 14:25
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:14
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.24%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 14:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.58%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.38%EV -10.56%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.04%EV -12.80%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.18%E -0.416%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.03%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.26%EV -13.58%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.8%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:15
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:25