Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hammarby IF v GAIS

Inizio: 2026-08-23 14:30 UTC

Finale: Hammarby IF 2–0 GAIS

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hammarby IF (Casa)

Previsione 67.65%1.48quota equa
EV -3.26%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -7.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.03%67.58%67.84%70.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.38%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

GAIS (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.72%7.29quota equa
EV +16.60%
Vantaggio +1.95%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescita +0.368%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.41%13.71%13.46%15.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.756.877.008.5017.39%14.56%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.63%5.37quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.236%
Kelly -0.291%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.23%18.71%18.71%20.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.884.805.3022.73%20.49%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hammarby IF (Casa): 67.65%; GAIS (Trasferta): 13.72%; Pareggio: 18.63%. Per GAIS (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.29. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +16.60%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.05%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.85%EV +11.11%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.174%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.60%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -0.957%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.20%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.07%EV -1.23%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:25
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.87%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.22%EV -1.51%E -0.210%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -11.13%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 14:25
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:14
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.24%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 14:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.58%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.38%EV -10.56%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.04%EV -12.80%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.18%E -0.416%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.03%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.26%EV -13.58%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.8%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:15
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:25