StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hammarby IF v GAIS

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Hammarby IF 2–0 GAIS

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hammarby IF (Hemma)

Prognos 67.65%1.48rättvist odds
EV -3.26%
Fördel -2.28%
Kelly -7.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.03%67.58%67.84%70.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.38%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

GAIS (Borta)

Prognos 13.72%7.29rättvist odds
EV +16.60%
Fördel +1.95%
Kelly +2.21%
Tillväxt +0.368%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.41%13.71%13.46%15.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.756.877.008.5017.39%14.56%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.63%5.37rättvist odds
EV -1.25%
Fördel -0.236%
Kelly -0.291%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.23%18.71%18.71%20.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.884.805.3022.73%20.49%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Hammarby IF (Hemma): 67.65%; GAIS (Borta): 13.72%; Oavgjort: 18.63%. För GAIS (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.29. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +16.60%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.05%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.85%EV +11.11%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.174%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.60%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -0.957%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.20%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.07%EV -1.23%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:25
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.87%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.22%EV -1.51%E -0.210%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -11.13%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 14:25
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:14
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.24%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 14:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.58%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.38%EV -10.56%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.04%EV -12.80%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.18%E -0.416%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.03%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.26%EV -13.58%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.8%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:15
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:25