Idioma:Español
Hammarby IF v GAIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hammarby IF (Local)
Predicción 67.65%1.48momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -7.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.03%67.58%67.84%70.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.38%73.53%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
GAIS (Visitante)
Predicción 13.72%7.29momio equitativo
EV +16.60%
Ventaja +1.95%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.368%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.41%13.71%13.46%15.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.877.008.5017.39%14.56%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.63%5.37momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.236%
Kelly -0.291%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.23%18.71%18.71%20.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.884.805.3022.73%20.49%20.83%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hammarby IF (Local): 67.65%; GAIS (Visitante): 13.72%; Empate: 18.63%. Para GAIS (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.29. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +16.60%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.05%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.85%EV +11.11%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.174% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.60%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -0.957%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.20%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.07%EV -1.23%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.87%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.22%EV -1.51%E -0.210%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -11.13%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.24%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.58%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.38%EV -10.56%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.04%EV -12.80%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.18%E -0.416%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.03%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.26%EV -13.58%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |