Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Hammarby IF v GAIS

Początek: 2026-08-23 14:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Hammarby IF 2–0 GAIS

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (13 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Hammarby IF (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.65%1.48kurs godziwy
EV -3.26%
Przewaga -2.28%
Kelly -7.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.03%67.58%67.84%70.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.38%73.53%69.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

GAIS (Goście)

Prognoza 13.72%7.29kurs godziwy
EV +16.60%
Przewaga +1.95%
Kelly +2.21%
Wzrost +0.368%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.41%13.71%13.46%15.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.756.877.008.5017.39%14.56%14.29%11.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 18.63%5.37kurs godziwy
EV -1.25%
Przewaga -0.236%
Kelly -0.291%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.23%18.71%18.71%20.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.404.884.805.3022.73%20.49%20.83%18.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Hammarby IF (Gospodarze): 67.65%; GAIS (Goście): 13.72%; Remis: 18.63%. Dla wyniku GAIS (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.29. 10 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +16.60%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.60%E +1.95%K +2.21%G +0.368%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.05%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.85%EV +11.11%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.174%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +2.88%E +0.385%K +0.444%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.60%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.21%EV -0.957%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.20%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.07%EV -1.23%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:25
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.87%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.22%EV -1.51%E -0.210%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.91%EV -11.13%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -4.61%E -3.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -2.60%E -0.367%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -17.09%E -3.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 14:25
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.741%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:14
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -3.97%E -0.568%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.24%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.40%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -12.43%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 14:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.58%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.38%EV -10.56%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.04%EV -12.80%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.18%E -0.416%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.29%E -3.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.83%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.84%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.03%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.26%EV -13.58%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -1.25%E -0.236%K -0.291%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -17.69%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.12%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.02%E -4.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 14:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.8%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:15
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-08-23 14:25