Language:English
Livingston v Aberdeen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Livingston (Local)
Prediction 33.92%2.95fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.20%33.79%33.89%35.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.812.793.0538.91%35.60%35.84%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aberdeen (Visit)
Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.888%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.86%38.27%38.24%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.392.402.5644.84%41.83%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -0.939%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%27.94%27.87%28.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.5532.26%29.90%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Livingston (Local): 33.92%; Aberdeen (Visit): 38.17%; Draw: 27.90%. For Livingston (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.27%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.01%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -6.38%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.76%EV -5.71%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -7.06%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.264%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |