L’École des cotesFrançais
Livingston v Aberdeen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Livingston (Local)
Prévision 33.92%2.95cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.058%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.20%33.79%33.89%35.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.572.812.793.0538.91%35.60%35.84%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Aberdeen (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.17%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.888%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.86%38.27%38.24%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.392.402.5644.84%41.83%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.939%
Avantage -0.264%
Kelly -0.368%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%27.94%27.87%28.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.5532.26%29.90%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.27%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.01%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:33 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -6.38%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.76%EV -5.71%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -7.06%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.264%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |