La scuola delle quote

Livingston v Aberdeen

Inizio: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Finale: Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Livingston (Casa)

Previsione 33.92%2.95quota equa
EV +3.46%
Vantaggio +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescita +0.058%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.20%33.79%33.89%35.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.572.812.793.0538.91%35.60%35.84%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aberdeen (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.17%2.62quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.888%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.86%38.27%38.24%41.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.392.402.5644.84%41.83%41.67%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.90%3.58quota equa
EV -0.939%
Vantaggio -0.264%
Kelly -0.368%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.80%27.94%27.87%28.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.343.353.5532.26%29.90%29.85%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:09
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:10
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:39
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.27%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.01%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:33
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:34
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:40
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -6.38%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.76%EV -5.71%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:38
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:35
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:09
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:40
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -7.06%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.264%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:39
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:40
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:40
BetUS2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:38
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:34
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-01 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-05-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-01 18:40