مدرسة الاحتمالات

Livingston v Aberdeen

البداية: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Livingston (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.92%2.95السعر العادل
EV +3.46%
الأفضلية +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
النمو +0.058%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.20%33.79%33.89%35.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.572.812.793.0538.91%35.60%35.84%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aberdeen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.17%2.62السعر العادل
EV -2.27%
الأفضلية -0.888%
Kelly -1.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.86%38.27%38.24%41.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.232.392.402.5644.84%41.83%41.67%39.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.90%3.58السعر العادل
EV -0.939%
الأفضلية -0.264%
Kelly -0.368%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.80%27.94%27.87%28.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.343.353.5532.26%29.90%29.85%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:09
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:10
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:39
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.27%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.01%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:33
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:34
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:40
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -6.38%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.76%EV -5.71%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:38
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:35
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:09
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:40
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -7.06%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.264%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:39
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:40
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:40
BetUS2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:38
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:34
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-01 18:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-05-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-01 18:40