默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Livingston v Aberdeen

开赛时间: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Livingston (主队)

预测 33.92%2.95公平赔率
EV +3.46%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
增长率 +0.058%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
31.20%33.79%33.89%35.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.572.812.793.0538.91%35.60%35.84%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aberdeen (客队)

预测 38.17%2.62公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.888%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.56

博彩公司预测分布
36.86%38.27%38.24%41.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.392.402.5644.84%41.83%41.67%39.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.90%3.58公平赔率
EV -0.939%
优势 -0.264%
Kelly -0.368%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.80%27.94%27.87%28.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.343.353.5532.26%29.90%29.85%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Livingston (主队):33.92%;Aberdeen (客队):38.17%;平局:27.90%。 对于“Livingston (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.95。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.05,对应+3.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:09
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:39
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.27%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.01%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:33
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:34
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -6.38%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.76%EV -5.71%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:09
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:40
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -7.06%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.264%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:39
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:40
BetUS🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Bovada🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:38
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:34
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-01 18:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-05-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-01 18:40
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-01 18:40