La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Livingston v Aberdeen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Livingston (Local)
Predicción 33.92%2.95momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.20%33.79%33.89%35.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.572.812.793.0538.91%35.60%35.84%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aberdeen (Visitante)
Predicción 38.17%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.888%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.86%38.27%38.24%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.392.402.5644.84%41.83%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.939%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.368%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%27.94%27.87%28.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.5532.26%29.90%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -4.93%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +1.76%E +0.587%K +0.881%G +0.016% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -5.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV +0.066%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -1.63%E -0.562%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.87%E -6.67%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.27%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.01%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:33 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -6.38%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.76%EV -5.71%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -7.06%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.84%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.264%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.74%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -8.08%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.62%EV -6.47%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.56%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.11%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.20%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -12.82%E -4.99%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.11%E -6.27%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |