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Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC

2026-08-30 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mallorca (Local)

Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.01%61.39%61.26%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5869.44%66.77%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Visit)

Prediction 16.01%6.25fair odd
EV +0.066%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.73%16.07%16.15%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.625.506.2520.00%17.81%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%22.54%22.59%23.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.004.004.3026.67%24.98%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mallorca (Local): 61.50%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 16.01%; Draw: 22.49%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.246. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.250, producing a positive expected value of +0.066%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV +0.066%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +0.066%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.29%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.99%EV -10.83%E -7.47%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -0.735%E -0.118%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 19:49
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.94%E -0.656%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -8.37%E -5.62%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.94%E -0.656%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.94%E -0.656%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -10.21%E -6.99%K -22.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.94%E -0.656%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -10.83%E -7.47%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -3.94%E -0.656%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.79%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 17:03
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.44%E -7.95%K -26.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.94%E -0.656%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 17:04
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.84%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.38%EV -6.02%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.78%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:54
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 19:34
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 19:34
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.94%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.65%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -15.14%E -2.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.65%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -15.14%E -2.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -5.54%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:49
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -15.94%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -15.94%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -15.94%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -15.94%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -11.44%E -7.95%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -15.94%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -15.66%E -4.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-24 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.74%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.57%EV -18.35%E -3.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.16%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 19:34
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -19.95%E -3.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-08-24 19:49
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 58.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.24%16.2%2026-08-24 19:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 16:44