Language:English
Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mallorca (Local)
Prediction 67.62%1.48fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.19%67.58%67.55%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.88%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visit)
Prediction 12.83%7.79fair odd
EV +16.11%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Growth +0.322%
assuming max odds 9.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.51%12.85%12.91%14.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.926.909.0517.24%14.45%14.49%11.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.73%19.57%19.54%21.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mallorca (Local): 67.62%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 12.83%; Draw: 19.55%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.79. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.44%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.51%EV +16.11%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.322% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -11.64%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +2.64%E +0.330%K +0.377%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -10.74%E -8.14%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.073%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.78%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.24%EV -0.568%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -1.21%E -0.157%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -5.19%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.12%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV -2.75%E -0.363%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.35%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.54%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -11.47%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -13.01%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.89%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.38%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.96%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -16.92%E -3.98%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.19%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -25.59%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -19.85%E -4.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.24% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |