StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Mallorca 3–0 AD Ceuta FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mallorca (Hemma)

Prognos 67.62%1.48rättvist odds
EV -2.63%
Fördel -1.82%
Kelly -5.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.19%67.58%67.55%69.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.88%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Borta)

Prognos 12.83%7.79rättvist odds
EV +16.11%
Fördel +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Tillväxt +0.322%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.51%12.85%12.91%14.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.806.926.909.0517.24%14.45%14.49%11.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.55%5.12rättvist odds
EV -2.26%
Fördel -0.451%
Kelly -0.564%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.73%19.57%19.54%21.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mallorca (Hemma): 67.62%; AD Ceuta FC (Borta): 12.83%; Oavgjort: 19.55%. För AD Ceuta FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.79. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +16.11%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.44%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.51%EV +16.11%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.322%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -11.64%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +2.64%E +0.330%K +0.377%G +0.010%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -10.74%E -8.14%K -33.56%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.073%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.78%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.24%EV -0.568%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -1.21%E -0.157%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -5.19%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.12%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV -2.75%E -0.363%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.35%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.54%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -11.47%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -13.01%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.89%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.38%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.96%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 16:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:25
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 16:30
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 16:35
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -16.92%E -3.98%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.19%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -25.59%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -19.85%E -4.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-30 16:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-08-30 16:30
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14%2.4%2026-08-30 16:55
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%2.9%2026-08-30 16:55