语言:简体中文
Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Mallorca (主队)
预测 67.62%1.48公平赔率
EV -2.63%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -5.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
64.19%67.58%67.55%69.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.88%72.99%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
AD Ceuta FC (客队)
预测 12.83%7.79公平赔率
EV +16.11%
优势 +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
增长率 +0.322%
假设最高赔率为 9.05
博彩公司预测分布
10.51%12.85%12.91%14.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.926.909.0517.24%14.45%14.49%11.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.55%5.12公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -0.451%
Kelly -0.564%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.73%19.57%19.54%21.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mallorca (主队)：67.62%；AD Ceuta FC (客队)：12.83%；平局：19.55%。 对于“AD Ceuta FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.79。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.05，对应+16.11%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.44%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.51%EV +16.11%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.322% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -11.64%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +2.64%E +0.330%K +0.377%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -10.74%E -8.14%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.073%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.78%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.24%EV -0.568%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -1.21%E -0.157%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -5.19%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.12%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV -2.75%E -0.363%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.35%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.54%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -11.47%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -13.01%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.89%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.38%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.96%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -16.92%E -3.98%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.19%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -25.59%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -19.85%E -4.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.24% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |