Idioma:Español
Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC
Resultado del partido
Mallorca (Local)
Predicción 62.87%1.59momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -8.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.51%62.69%62.85%64.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.491.5271.43%67.75%67.11%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 15.31%6.53momio equitativo
EV -0.057%
Ventaja -0.009%
Kelly -0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.49%15.41%15.19%17.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.205.826.006.5319.23%17.20%16.67%15.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.82%4.58momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -0.710%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.18%21.90%21.96%23.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.084.104.4726.67%24.50%24.39%22.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Mallorca (Local): 62.87%; AD Ceuta FC (Visitante): 15.31%; Empate: 21.82%. Para AD Ceuta FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.534. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 6.530, con un valor esperado de -0.057%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -4.34%E -0.695%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.89%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.68%EV -0.057%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.47%E -0.551%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-24 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.13%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.68%EV -7.56%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.19%EV -2.47%E -0.551%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-24 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-24 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -12.76%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.81%E -3.50%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-24 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -12.76%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.81%E -3.50%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-24 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -6.32%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.27%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.51%EV -6.32%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.51%EV -6.32%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.95%E -4.69%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.516%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.17%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.60%EV -7.57%E -5.15%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -20.41%E -3.93%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -8.20%E -5.62%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.81%E -0.443%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.20%E -5.62%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -8.83%E -6.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-24 17:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -8.83%E -6.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-24 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -8.83%E -6.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-24 19:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.46%E -6.57%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-24 17:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -9.46%E -6.57%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.23%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-24 20:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -9.46%E -6.57%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -18.18%E -4.85%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-24 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -10.72%E -7.55%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -5.11%E -0.824%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.17%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-24 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.98%E -8.55%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 19:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-24 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53% | 16.4% | 2026-08-24 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 180.4% | 2026-08-24 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 180.4% | 2026-08-24 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |