Langue:Français
Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mallorca (Local)
Prévision 67.62%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.19%67.58%67.55%69.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.88%72.99%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.83%7.79cote équitable
EV +16.11%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Croissance +0.322%
avec la cote maximale 9.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.51%12.85%12.91%14.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.806.926.909.0517.24%14.45%14.49%11.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.55%5.12cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.564%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.73%19.57%19.54%21.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mallorca (Local) : 67.62% ; AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur) : 12.83% ; Match nul : 19.55%. Pour AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.79. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.05, soit une espérance positive de +16.11%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.44%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.51%EV +16.11%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.322% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -11.64%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +2.64%E +0.330%K +0.377%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -10.74%E -8.14%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.073%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.78%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.24%EV -0.568%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -1.21%E -0.157%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -5.19%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.12%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV -2.75%E -0.363%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.78%E -0.503%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.21%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.26%E -0.451%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.35%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -10.19%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.54%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -11.47%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -13.01%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.50%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -12.76%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.17%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.89%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -13.40%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -2.63%E -1.82%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.03%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.38%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.96%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -16.61%E -2.55%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -8.12%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -19.81%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -15.94%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -16.92%E -3.98%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -21.74%E -3.56%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.19%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -25.59%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -19.85%E -4.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.24% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |