Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mallorca v AD Ceuta FC

2026-08-30 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mallorca (Casa)

Previsione 62.87%1.59quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -8.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.51%62.69%62.85%64.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.481.491.5271.43%67.75%67.11%65.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.31%6.53quota equa
EV -0.057%
Vantaggio -0.009%
Kelly -0.010%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.49%15.41%15.19%17.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.205.826.006.5319.23%17.20%16.67%15.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.82%4.58quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -0.551%
Kelly -0.710%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.18%21.90%21.96%23.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.084.104.4726.67%24.50%24.39%22.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Mallorca (Casa): 62.87%; AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta): 15.31%; Pareggio: 21.82%. Per AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.534. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 6.530, con un valore atteso del -0.057%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -4.43%E -2.91%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -4.34%E -0.695%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 17:15
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.89%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.68%EV -0.057%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.47%E -0.551%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.13%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.68%EV -7.56%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.19%EV -2.47%E -0.551%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 20:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -12.76%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.81%E -3.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 19:59
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -12.76%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.81%E -3.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:54
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -5.69%E -3.79%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.08%E -4.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -6.32%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.27%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.51%EV -6.32%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.51%EV -6.32%E -4.24%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.95%E -4.69%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.516%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.17%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 20:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.60%EV -7.57%E -5.15%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -20.41%E -3.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -8.20%E -5.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.81%E -0.443%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.20%E -5.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -8.83%E -6.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 17:03
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -8.83%E -6.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -8.83%E -6.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.54%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 19:57
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.46%E -6.57%K -21.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 17:04
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -9.46%E -6.57%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.23%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 20:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -9.46%E -6.57%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -18.18%E -4.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-24 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -10.72%E -7.55%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -5.11%E -0.824%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.17%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 20:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.98%E -8.55%K -29.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 19:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-08-24 20:45
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 59.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53%16.4%2026-08-24 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 16:44