Language:English
Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 57.79%1.73fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.85%57.74%57.98%59.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 17.41%5.74fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.455%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 5.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.09%17.44%17.29%19.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.235.255.8721.74%19.13%19.05%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.82%24.73%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.673.654.1032.26%27.23%27.40%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 57.79%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 17.41%; Draw: 24.79%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.42%EV +2.22%E +0.378%K +0.455%G +0.010% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -2.31%E -0.587%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.999%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.45%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -11.98%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -23.14%E -7.46%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 18:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:10 |