مدرسة الاحتمالات

Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF

البداية: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Las Palmas 2–1 Real Valladolid CF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Las Palmas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.79%1.73السعر العادل
EV -4.64%
الأفضلية -2.81%
Kelly -7.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.85%57.74%57.98%59.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Valladolid CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.41%5.74السعر العادل
EV +2.22%
الأفضلية +0.378%
Kelly +0.455%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.09%17.44%17.29%19.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.235.255.8721.74%19.13%19.05%17.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.79%4.03السعر العادل
EV +1.65%
الأفضلية +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.19%24.82%24.73%27.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.673.654.1032.26%27.23%27.40%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.42%EV +2.22%E +0.378%K +0.455%G +0.010%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -2.31%E -0.587%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 18:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.999%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:46
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:05
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:16
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:15
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:56
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:15
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:45
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009%5.2%2026-05-03 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:16
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:15
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 18:45
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.45%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:00
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:36
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:36
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:16
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:21
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:36
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 18:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 18:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 18:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -11.98%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -23.14%E -7.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-03 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 18:32
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:01
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:06
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 18:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-03 18:56
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%2.4%2026-05-03 18:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-05-03 18:10