La scuola delle quote

Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF

Inizio: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Finale: Las Palmas 2–1 Real Valladolid CF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Las Palmas (Casa)

Previsione 57.79%1.73quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -2.81%
Kelly -7.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.85%57.74%57.98%59.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Valladolid CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.41%5.74quota equa
EV +2.22%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.455%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.09%17.44%17.29%19.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.235.255.8721.74%19.13%19.05%17.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.79%4.03quota equa
EV +1.65%
Vantaggio +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.19%24.82%24.73%27.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.673.654.1032.26%27.23%27.40%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.42%EV +2.22%E +0.378%K +0.455%G +0.010%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -2.31%E -0.587%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 18:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.999%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:46
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:05
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:16
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:15
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:56
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:15
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:45
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009%5.2%2026-05-03 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:16
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:15
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 18:45
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.45%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:00
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:36
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:36
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:16
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:21
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:36
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 18:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 18:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 18:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -11.98%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -23.14%E -7.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-03 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 18:32
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:01
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:06
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-03 18:56
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%2.4%2026-05-03 18:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-05-03 18:10