L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Las Palmas (Local)
Prévision 57.79%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -7.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.85%57.74%57.98%59.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.41%5.74cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.455%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 5.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.09%17.44%17.29%19.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.235.255.8721.74%19.13%19.05%17.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV +1.65%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%24.82%24.73%27.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.673.654.1032.26%27.23%27.40%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.42%EV +2.22%E +0.378%K +0.455%G +0.010% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -2.31%E -0.587%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.999%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.45%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -11.98%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -23.14%E -7.46%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 18:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:06 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:10 |