Szkoła Kursów

Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF

Początek: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Las Palmas 2–1 Real Valladolid CF

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Las Palmas (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.79%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -4.64%
Przewaga -2.81%
Kelly -7.14%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.85%57.74%57.98%59.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Real Valladolid CF (Goście)

Prognoza 17.41%5.74kurs godziwy
EV +2.22%
Przewaga +0.378%
Kelly +0.455%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.87

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.09%17.44%17.29%19.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.235.255.8721.74%19.13%19.05%17.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.79%4.03kurs godziwy
EV +1.65%
Przewaga +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.19%24.82%24.73%27.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.673.654.1032.26%27.23%27.40%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.42%EV +2.22%E +0.378%K +0.455%G +0.010%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -2.31%E -0.587%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 18:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.999%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:46
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:36
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:05
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:16
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:15
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:56
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:15
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:45
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:16
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009%5.2%2026-05-03 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:16
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:11
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:15
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 18:45
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.45%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:00
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:36
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:36
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:16
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:21
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:36
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 18:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 18:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 18:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -11.98%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -23.14%E -7.46%K -11.02%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-03 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 18:32
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:01
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:06
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 18:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-03 18:56
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%2.4%2026-05-03 18:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-05-03 18:10