La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 57.79%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -7.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.85%57.74%57.98%59.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.76%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)
Predicción 17.41%5.74momio equitativo
EV +2.22%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.455%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.09%17.44%17.29%19.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.235.255.8721.74%19.13%19.05%17.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV +1.65%
Ventaja +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.82%24.73%27.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.673.654.1032.26%27.23%27.40%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.42%EV +2.22%E +0.378%K +0.455%G +0.010% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -2.31%E -0.587%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.999%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -8.11%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.44%EV -5.22%E -3.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.97%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:11 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.45%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:16 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.27%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -11.58%E -7.57%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -11.98%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -13.31%E -8.87%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -23.14%E -7.46%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 18:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.78%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.41%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 18:06 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:10 |