默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón

2026-08-31 19:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Fortuna (主队)

预测 21.37%4.68公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.367%
Kelly -0.468%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
19.60%21.43%21.32%23.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.654.174.204.6027.40%23.98%23.81%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

CD Castellón (客队)

预测 53.59%1.87公平赔率
EV -4.61%
优势 -2.59%
Kelly -5.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
51.54%53.50%53.68%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.711.721.7860.61%58.34%58.14%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.04%3.99公平赔率
EV -0.845%
优势 -0.213%
Kelly -0.285%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.96

博彩公司预测分布
24.23%25.07%24.99%25.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.633.603.9629.85%27.55%27.78%25.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Celta Fortuna (主队):21.37%;CD Castellón (客队):53.59%;平局:25.04%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.99。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.96,期望值为-0.845%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -11.58%E -7.02%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-24 19:34
Pinnacle🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86%EV -2.75%E -0.605%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.91%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:20
1xBet🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -3.18%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.56%EV -5.68%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.25%EV -0.845%E -0.213%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -8.36%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 19:49
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 19:39
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 19:39
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.06%EV -9.44%E -5.58%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.54%EV -11.04%E -6.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.54%EV -12.86%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 19:48
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 19:39
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:39
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:44
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 19:19
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 19:49
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:49
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -6.22%E -3.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:49
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -18.78%E -4.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-24 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.75%EV -11.58%E -7.02%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.49%EV -16.12%E -4.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-24 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -21.99%E -6.02%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.54%EV -9.97%E -5.94%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-24 19:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 23.22%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%16.4%2026-08-24 19:49
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 26.61%1.52I 65.79%NM 51.47%3.57I 28.01%NM 21.92%27.8%2026-08-24 20:50