语言:简体中文
Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Celta Fortuna (主队)
预测 23.41%4.27公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.403%
Kelly -0.529%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.58%23.45%23.30%24.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.50%25.64%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
CD Castellón (客队)
预测 52.35%1.91公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -3.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.86
博彩公司预测分布
51.01%52.44%52.35%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.75%57.14%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.24%4.13公平赔率
EV +1.81%
优势 +0.430%
Kelly +0.565%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.95%24.11%24.35%25.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.743.704.2028.57%26.75%27.03%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Celta Fortuna (主队)：23.41%；CD Castellón (客队)：52.35%；平局：24.24%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.13。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.20，对应+1.81%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.81%E +0.430%K +0.565%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.69%E -0.403%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.01%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.74%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -12.57%E -7.53%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |