Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón

Inizio: 2026-08-31 19:30 UTC

Finale: Celta Fortuna 1–2 CD Castellón

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Celta Fortuna (Casa)

Previsione 23.41%4.27quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.403%
Kelly -0.529%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.58%23.45%23.30%24.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.50%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CD Castellón (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.35%1.91quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.01%52.44%52.35%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.75%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.24%4.13quota equa
EV +1.81%
Vantaggio +0.430%
Kelly +0.565%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.95%24.11%24.35%25.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.743.704.2028.57%26.75%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Celta Fortuna (Casa): 23.41%; CD Castellón (Trasferta): 52.35%; Pareggio: 24.24%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.13. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.20, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.81%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.81%E +0.430%K +0.565%G +0.010%3.7%2026-08-31 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 19:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:10
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:20
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 19:20
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.69%E -0.403%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
1xBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.01%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:25
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 19:20
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 19:15
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:20
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.74%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 19:20
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:25
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:19
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 19:15
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:15
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 19:19
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -12.57%E -7.53%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 19:20
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-08-31 19:25
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-31 19:25