Langue:Français
Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Prévision 23.41%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.529%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.58%23.45%23.30%24.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.50%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
CD Castellón (Visiteur)
Prévision 52.35%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.01%52.44%52.35%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.75%57.14%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.24%4.13cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +0.430%
Kelly +0.565%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%24.11%24.35%25.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.704.2028.57%26.75%27.03%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Celta Fortuna (Local) : 23.41% ; CD Castellón (Visiteur) : 52.35% ; Match nul : 24.24%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.13. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +1.81%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.81%E +0.430%K +0.565%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.69%E -0.403%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.01%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.74%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -12.57%E -7.53%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |