StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Celta Fortuna 1–2 CD Castellón

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Celta Fortuna (Hemma)

Prognos 23.41%4.27rättvist odds
EV -1.69%
Fördel -0.403%
Kelly -0.529%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.58%23.45%23.30%24.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.50%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CD Castellón (Borta)

Prognos 52.35%1.91rättvist odds
EV -2.62%
Fördel -1.41%
Kelly -3.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.01%52.44%52.35%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.75%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.24%4.13rättvist odds
EV +1.81%
Fördel +0.430%
Kelly +0.565%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.95%24.11%24.35%25.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.743.704.2028.57%26.75%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Celta Fortuna (Hemma): 23.41%; CD Castellón (Borta): 52.35%; Oavgjort: 24.24%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.13. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.81%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.81%E +0.430%K +0.565%G +0.010%3.7%2026-08-31 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 19:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:10
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:20
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 19:20
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.69%E -0.403%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
1xBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.01%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:25
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 19:20
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 19:15
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:20
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.74%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 19:20
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:25
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:19
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 19:15
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:15
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 19:19
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -12.57%E -7.53%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 19:20
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-08-31 19:25
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-31 19:25