Idioma:Español
Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Predicción 23.41%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.529%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.58%23.45%23.30%24.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.50%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 52.35%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.01%52.44%52.35%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.75%57.14%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.24%4.13momio equitativo
EV +1.81%
Ventaja +0.430%
Kelly +0.565%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.95%24.11%24.35%25.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.704.2028.57%26.75%27.03%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Celta Fortuna (Local): 23.41%; CD Castellón (Visitante): 52.35%; Empate: 24.24%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.81%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.81%E +0.430%K +0.565%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.69%E -0.403%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.01%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.74%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -12.57%E -7.53%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |